SPY-1.2%|QQQ-1.2%|BTC+4.3%|VIX24.45|10Y4.24
DLTR·REPORTS MON·$114.89-3.4%SAIC·REPORTS MON·$93.21+2.7%LULU·REPORTS TUE·$161.18-3.9%FIVE·REPORTS WED·$211.25-4.2%GIS·REPORTS WED·$38.80-7.7%MU·REPORTS WED·$449.33+10.9%WSM·REPORTS WED·$183.10-3.0%ACN·REPORTS THU·$198.89-2.5%DRI·REPORTS THU·$207.43+1.1%FDX·REPORTS THU·$354.43-0.9%

Earnings Calls

Vol. 001·Earnings Preview

Week of March 16, 2026

MARCH 16, 2026·10 entries

Weekly Overview

Markets enter a heavy earnings week under pressure, with the S&P 500 down roughly 4% over the past month amid renewed tariff uncertainty and softening consumer confidence readings.

February retail sales data, released this week, will provide a real-time read on consumer spending momentum heading into spring.

The week's reporters span AI infrastructure (Micron), consumer discretionary (lululemon, Five Below, Williams-Sonoma), and logistics (FedEx), offering a broad cross-section of demand signals.

Reported

DLTR

Dollar Tree, Inc.
$114.89-3.4% 1W-10.4% 1M
At a glance
  • First full report as a pure-play Dollar Tree post-Family Dollar sale
  • Multi-price format now in 2,000+ stores; margin trend is key
  • Tariff exposure on Chinese imports a material cost headwind
Analyst consensus23 analysts
Hold
6 Bearish13 Neutral9 Bullish
$80 Low
$114.89 Current
$126.30 Avg
$165 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $135Now $115
Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 9Mar 16
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
4-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+5%
Q2 2025 Beat$1.26 vs $1.21 est
Earned +4.5% more per share than analysts expected
+88%
Q3 2025 Beat$0.77 vs $0.41 est
Earned +87.6% more per share than analysts expected
+12%
Q4 2025 Beat$1.21 vs $1.08 est
Earned +11.8% more per share than analysts expected
+1%
Q1 2026 Beat$2.56 vs $2.53 est
Earned +1.1% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Dollar Tree completed the sale of its Family Dollar banner to Dollar General in late 2025, allowing management to focus entirely on the core Dollar Tree concept and its multi-price-point strategy. The company has been accelerating store conversions to the expanded $3-$5-$7 format, with over 2,000 locations now operating under the updated assortment. Shares have pulled back roughly 10% over the past month as discount-sector sentiment softened on tariff concerns given heavy import exposure.

What could move the stock

Same-store sales trajectory at Dollar Tree standalone stores and any updated commentary on tariff impacts to cost of goods, particularly Chinese-sourced merchandise. Management's FY2027 margin guidance will signal whether the multi-price strategy is delivering the gross margin expansion investors expect.

Reported

SAIC

Science Applications International Corporation
$93.21+2.7% 1W+7.3% 1M
At a glance
  • Backlog health under scrutiny amid federal spending review pressure
  • Recent large contract wins support near-term revenue visibility
  • DOGE-driven efficiency cuts pose medium-term headwind to pipeline
Analyst consensus9 analysts
Hold
1 Bearish7 Neutral2 Bullish
$85 Low
$93.21 Current
$116.22 Avg
$133 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $95Now $93
Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 9Mar 16
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
3-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
-9%
Q2 2025 Miss$1.92 vs $2.12 est
Earned -9.3% less per share than analysts expected
+62%
Q3 2025 Beat$3.63 vs $2.24 est
Earned +62.3% more per share than analysts expected
+20%
Q4 2025 Beat$2.58 vs $2.15 est
Earned +20.2% more per share than analysts expected
+30%
Q1 2026 Beat$2.62 vs $2.01 est
Earned +30.0% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

SAIC secured several large defense and intelligence contract wins in late 2025 and early 2026, including a $1.2B Army IT modernization award, bolstering its backlog. However, the ongoing DOGE-driven federal spending reviews and potential government efficiency cuts have created uncertainty around contract renewals and new awards across the defense IT sector. The stock has rebounded 7% over the past month as investors reassessed the severity of near-term spending disruption.

What could move the stock

Book-to-bill ratio and backlog trajectory, which will indicate whether federal cost-cutting rhetoric is translating into actual contract delays or cancellations. Commentary on DOGE-related impacts to pipeline and any exposure to programs flagged for review.

Reported

LULU

lululemon athletica inc.
$161.18-3.9% 1W-9.3% 1M
At a glance
  • International growth (especially China) offsetting slower North America
  • Increased competition and promotional pressure in U.S. athleisure
  • Men's and footwear categories positioned as key growth drivers
Analyst consensus24 analysts
Hold
1 Bearish29 Neutral3 Bullish
$150 Low
$161.18 Current
$207.55 Avg
$295 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $187Now $161
Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 9Mar 16
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
8-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+0%
Q2 2025 Beat$2.60 vs $2.59 est
Earned +0.4% more per share than analysts expected
+9%
Q3 2025 Beat$3.10 vs $2.85 est
Earned +8.7% more per share than analysts expected
+17%
Q4 2025 Beat$2.59 vs $2.21 est
Earned +17.1% more per share than analysts expected
+5%
Q1 2026 Beat$5.01 vs $4.78 est
Earned +4.9% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Lululemon reported accelerating international growth in its prior quarter, with China revenue up over 30% year-over-year as the brand continues to expand its store footprint in Asia. In North America, the company acknowledged a more promotional environment and increased competition from emerging athletic brands. CEO Calvin McDonald outlined a renewed focus on men's apparel and footwear as growth vectors through 2027.

What could move the stock

North America comparable sales growth, which has been decelerating for several quarters, and whether international momentum is sufficient to offset domestic softness. Forward guidance and gross margin commentary will be scrutinized given the promotional retail backdrop.

Reported

FIVE

Five Below, Inc.
$211.25-4.2% 1W+2.8% 1M
At a glance
  • New CEO executing strategic shift toward higher price points
  • Over 1,750 stores with aggressive 200+ annual opening target
  • Direct China import model creates outsized tariff sensitivity
Analyst consensus22 analysts
Buy
0 Bearish9 Neutral16 Bullish
$211.25 Current
$223 Low
$228.41 Avg
$305 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $225Now $211
Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 9Mar 16
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
4-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+3%
Q2 2025 Beat$0.86 vs $0.83 est
Earned +3.4% more per share than analysts expected
+29%
Q3 2025 Beat$0.81 vs $0.63 est
Earned +29.4% more per share than analysts expected
+165%
Q4 2025 Beat$0.68 vs $0.26 est
Earned +165.4% more per share than analysts expected
+8%
Q1 2026 Beat$4.31 vs $4.00 est
Earned +7.6% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Five Below named a new CEO in mid-2025, with former executive Winnie Park taking the helm and initiating a strategic review of product mix and store format. The company has been shifting its assortment to emphasize items priced above $5, now branded as "Five Beyond" sections, which accounted for a growing share of revenue. Store count surpassed 1,750 locations, with management targeting 200+ net new openings annually.

What could move the stock

Comparable store sales and average transaction value trends, which will reveal whether the higher-price-point pivot is resonating with the core teen and tween demographic. Updated commentary on tariff exposure given the company's heavy reliance on directly imported goods from China.

Reported

GIS

General Mills, Inc.
$38.80-7.7% 1W-19.3% 1M
At a glance
  • Persistent volume losses to private label across core categories
  • New $500M restructuring plan to offset margin compression
  • Shares down ~20% in one month; sharpest decline among food peers
Analyst consensus19 analysts
Hold
4 Bearish12 Neutral4 Bullish
$35 Low
$38.80 Current
$47.16 Avg
$60 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $45Now $39
Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 9Mar 16
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
4-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+4%
Q2 2025 Beat$0.74 vs $0.71 est
Earned +4.1% more per share than analysts expected
+5%
Q3 2025 Beat$0.86 vs $0.82 est
Earned +5.4% more per share than analysts expected
+7%
Q4 2025 Beat$1.10 vs $1.03 est
Earned +7.1% more per share than analysts expected
-12%
Q1 2026 Miss$0.64 vs $0.73 est
Earned -12.1% less per share than analysts expected
What's happening

General Mills has seen persistent volume declines across key categories including cereal and snacks as consumers traded down to private-label alternatives amid prolonged food price inflation. The company announced a restructuring plan in early 2026 targeting $500M in cost savings over three years, including headcount reductions and supply chain optimization. Shares have dropped nearly 20% in the past month, the steepest decline among major packaged food peers.

What could move the stock

Organic volume trends in North America retail, which have been negative for multiple quarters, and whether price/mix can continue to offset unit declines. Progress on the $500M restructuring program and any changes to full-year guidance.

Reported

MU

Micron Technology, Inc.
$449.33+10.9% 1W+8.6% 1M
At a glance
  • HBM demand from AI buildout is the dominant revenue growth driver
  • HBM4 production ramping; major supply deals with AI chip leaders
  • Conventional DRAM/NAND pricing trends remain a secondary concern
Analyst consensus39 analysts
Buy
1 Bearish6 Neutral36 Bullish
$196 Low
$426.59 Avg
$449.33 Current
$750 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $449Now $449
Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 9Mar 16
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
8-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+20%
Q2 2025 Beat$1.91 vs $1.59 est
Earned +19.8% more per share than analysts expected
+6%
Q3 2025 Beat$3.03 vs $2.86 est
Earned +5.9% more per share than analysts expected
+21%
Q4 2025 Beat$4.78 vs $3.96 est
Earned +20.6% more per share than analysts expected
+36%
Q1 2026 Beat$12.20 vs $8.97 est
Earned +36.0% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Micron has been a primary beneficiary of surging HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) demand driven by AI data center buildouts, with HBM3E revenue more than tripling year-over-year in recent quarters. The company began volume production of its next-generation HBM4 product and secured major supply agreements with leading AI chip makers. Shares are up nearly 11% in the past week alone, reflecting renewed optimism around AI infrastructure capital expenditure plans from hyperscalers.

What could move the stock

HBM revenue as a percentage of total DRAM sales and forward pricing commentary on both HBM and conventional DRAM/NAND. Data center revenue mix and any quantified impact from new hyperscaler supply agreements will set the tone.

Reported

WSM

Williams-Sonoma, Inc.
$183.10-3.0% 1W-14.8% 1M
At a glance
  • Industry-leading operating margins above 17% despite housing slowdown
  • B2B and marketplace channels increasingly diversifying revenue
  • Housing market softness and rate environment weigh on sector sentiment
Analyst consensus19 analysts
Buy
1 Bearish14 Neutral8 Bullish
$136 Low
$183.10 Current
$206.37 Avg
$230 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $215Now $183
Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 9Mar 16
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
8-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+5%
Q2 2025 Beat$1.85 vs $1.76 est
Earned +4.9% more per share than analysts expected
+12%
Q3 2025 Beat$2.00 vs $1.79 est
Earned +11.6% more per share than analysts expected
+5%
Q4 2025 Beat$1.96 vs $1.87 est
Earned +4.9% more per share than analysts expected
+5%
Q1 2026 Beat$3.04 vs $2.91 est
Earned +4.5% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Williams-Sonoma continued to outperform home furnishing peers on operating margins, maintaining above-17% levels even as the broader housing market remained sluggish with elevated mortgage rates. The company expanded its business-to-business (B2B) and marketplace channels, which have become meaningful contributors to growth outside of same-store sales. Shares have declined nearly 15% over the past month, tracking weakness across the discretionary home goods sector.

What could move the stock

Comparable brand revenue growth across Pottery Barn, West Elm, and Williams-Sonoma banners, and whether management maintains its industry-leading margin guidance. Commentary on housing-related demand trends and B2B channel momentum.

Reported

ACN

Accenture plc
$198.89-2.5% 1W-12.3% 1M
At a glance
  • Generative AI bookings exceeding $1B/quarter; key growth engine
  • Broader IT services spending showing signs of deceleration
  • Bookings and forward guidance matter more than current-quarter revenue
Analyst consensus27 analysts
Buy
0 Bearish10 Neutral18 Bullish
$198.89 Current
$210 Low
$277.00 Avg
$320 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $224Now $199
Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 9Mar 16
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
4-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+5%
Q2 2025 Beat$3.49 vs $3.32 est
Earned +5.0% more per share than analysts expected
+2%
Q3 2025 Beat$3.03 vs $2.97 est
Earned +2.0% more per share than analysts expected
+6%
Q4 2025 Beat$3.94 vs $3.72 est
Earned +5.9% more per share than analysts expected
+3%
Q1 2026 Beat$2.93 vs $2.84 est
Earned +3.2% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Accenture reported $1B+ in generative AI bookings for the second consecutive quarter in its most recent report, positioning AI consulting and implementation as its fastest-growing practice. The company acquired several boutique AI and cloud engineering firms in early 2026 to deepen capabilities. However, broader IT services spending has shown signs of deceleration as enterprise clients reprioritize budgets, contributing to the stock's 12% decline over the past month.

What could move the stock

New bookings growth and book-to-bill ratio, which serve as the leading indicator for revenue over the next 4-6 quarters. Generative AI bookings trajectory and any revision to full-year revenue growth guidance.

Reported

DRI

Darden Restaurants, Inc.
$207.43+1.1% 1W-2.8% 1M
At a glance
  • Olive Garden comps turned negative last quarter; trend is critical
  • Chuy's acquisition adds ~100 locations; integration in early stages
  • Last quarter was an earnings miss — first in several periods
Analyst consensus29 analysts
Buy
1 Bearish11 Neutral20 Bullish
$160 Low
$207.43 Current
$222.90 Avg
$265 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $219Now $207
Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 9Mar 16
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+0%
Q2 2025 Beat$2.98 vs $2.97 est
Earned +0.4% more per share than analysts expected
-2%
Q3 2025 Miss$1.97 vs $2.01 est
Earned -2.0% less per share than analysts expected
-1%
Q4 2025 Miss$2.08 vs $2.10 est
Earned -0.8% less per share than analysts expected
+0%
Q1 2026 Beat$2.95 vs $2.94 est
Earned +0.3% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Darden completed its acquisition of Chuy's Holdings in late 2025, adding approximately 100 Tex-Mex locations to its restaurant portfolio alongside Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse. Same-restaurant sales at Olive Garden turned slightly negative in the most recent quarter, marking a notable inflection for the company's largest brand. Food and labor cost pressures persisted, though Darden's scale advantages have allowed it to hold margins better than smaller casual dining peers.

What could move the stock

Olive Garden same-restaurant sales, which investors view as a bellwether for casual dining traffic trends. Integration timeline and early financial contribution from the Chuy's acquisition.

Reported

FDX

FedEx Corporation
$354.43-0.9% 1W-4.6% 1M
At a glance
  • DRIVE program targeting $4B+ in savings; margin expansion is the story
  • New $5B buyback authorization signals free cash flow confidence
  • Global trade uncertainty and tariff disruption cloud volume outlook
Analyst consensus28 analysts
Buy
2 Bearish9 Neutral19 Bullish
$230 Low
$354.43 Current
$382.29 Avg
$479 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $387Now $354
Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 9Mar 16
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
3-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+5%
Q2 2025 Beat$6.07 vs $5.80 est
Earned +4.6% more per share than analysts expected
+6%
Q3 2025 Beat$3.83 vs $3.61 est
Earned +6.0% more per share than analysts expected
+17%
Q4 2025 Beat$4.82 vs $4.11 est
Earned +17.2% more per share than analysts expected
+26%
Q1 2026 Beat$5.25 vs $4.18 est
Earned +25.5% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

FedEx continues to execute its DRIVE cost transformation program, which has targeted $4B+ in cumulative savings through network optimization and the consolidation of its Express and Ground operations into a unified Federal Express entity. The company announced a new $5B share repurchase authorization in early 2026, signaling management's confidence in free cash flow generation. Global trade volumes have been choppy amid tariff uncertainty, with the company noting uneven demand trends across regions in its prior quarter.

What could move the stock

Package volume trends across U.S. and international segments, and whether DRIVE savings are translating to year-over-year margin expansion. Updated full-year guidance will be closely watched for any tariff or macro-related adjustments.